In the last 20 days in office it has been a mixed bag for Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif where he has done a lot of good things (which was expected of him as in popular perception he is seen as a good admin), but that won’t add much to his political capital. Shehbaz also made two major political mistakes, one regarding the installation of his son Hamza as CM Punjab, which may be legal (due to a court order) but not legitimate as he was with the support of defectors from the Imran party, which benefited Imran politically.
Second, the registration of a ridiculous FIR against about 150 people including Imran, PTI office staff, members and others for shouting slogans at Masjid-Nabawi in Saudi Arabia (SaAr), including understood against those who were not present on the site [such FIR can’t be registered by police without formal approval of government, (which presently is PML-N govt) because as per section 196 of Cr.P.C. no court shall take cognizance of any offense punishable under section 295-A of P.P.C. etc unless upon complaint made by order of or under authority from, the Federal Government or the Provincial Government concerned]. On the contrary, Shehbaz-govt should have filed such FIR only at the request of the SaAr government, but there was no such request from SaAr, hence the Shehbaz-govt unnecessarily attempted to be “ more loyal than the king” and this again benefited Imran politically.
According to the media, the higher judiciary has already intervened in these two cases and hopefully further political damage to Shehbaz-govt will be stopped by the judiciary. There is no doubt that currently the political atmosphere is immensely charged in Pakistan due to the narrative created by Imran using jihadist and anti-American sentiments against a motion of no confidence in which Imran was removed from office on 10 April, but it does not have adequate potential. & ability to compel the Shehbaz government to call immediate/snap elections. In other words, Imran cannot dislodge Shehbaz-government from power until the 2023 elections, rather Shehbaz can only be removed from office by the political follies of Shehbaz himself. Shehbaz-govt can easily stay in power until 2023 elections (depending on the calendar) if he guarantees political rights for Imran, support for Ukraine, elimination of communalism and justice for Nawaz, Zardari, etc and Kashmiris (generally as mentioned at https://www.alwihdainfo.com/Azadi-march-barking-at-wrong-trees-executives-instead-Maulana-should-agitate-against-legislative-judiciarye_a78722.html), as explained below :-
(1)- Above all, Shehbaz must ensure that whenever Imran and his PTI party wish to organize demonstrations, rallies, marches, protests, Jalsa, dharna (sit-ins), etc., they must promptly receive appropriate police/administrative clearance. in accordance with the law. At the same time, if in these political activities, the PTI engages in violence or any other illegal activity, it should be arrested immediately and punished according to law. Shehbaz has nothing more to do, but if this is ensured, then in due time (as soon as possible), Imran will lose his public presence considerably in these political activities for the simple reason that the Shehbaz government is not only legal but as legitimate. Because even if there was an alleged American plot to unseat Imran’s government, it was a matter between the American government and the Pakistani government (then Imran-govt) and the deputies (MNA) had nothing to do do with that. Therefore, the motion of no confidence presented by the deputies was legal and legitimate unless these deputies had committed a crime likely to disqualify them. Imran’s government (for about two months when in power) never provided any workable evidence of a money trail etc. between the United States and these deputies, therefore the government of Shehbaz Sharif (after a defiance against the government of Imran without a vote of PTI defectors) is a legal and legitimate government.
(2)- The Shehbaz government does not have to apologize for supporting Ukraine against Russia. If Russia (after destroying the existing world political order by invading Ukraine) was ready to establish an alternative world political order, the rest of the world would have accepted Russia’s leadership, but Russia does not. It is therefore the responsibility of the whole world, including nuclear-armed Pakistan (which also benefits from the inevitable US-sponsored UN world political order) to support the US in protecting sovereignty, independence, territorial integrity and human rights of Ukraine. At the same time, the Shehbaz government should ask the United States that after the end of the Ukrainian crisis, a new “participatory world political order” replaces the current UN world political order granting the right of veto (to 5 countries) where two countries with veto power (Russia and China) are constantly fighting 24/7 with three other countries with veto power (the United States, the United Kingdom and France) and which disturb and disturb the whole world.
(3)- Religion is good for any society but when it promotes rabid communalism it harms the society and it has also harmed enormously in Pakistan where even other Muslims (Shia, Ahmadiyas etc. are still killed and persecuted). Independent India and Pakistan (East and West) came into existence on the basis of the “Indian Independence Act 1947” in which the population was not supposed to leave their respective countries by force and which was necessary to maintain the communal poison-free region that is necessary for any functioning and progressive state. This independence/partition of India was made illegal for the simple reason that during the partition, forcible transfer of population (through mass genocide) was permitted. This partition (when India was a member of the United States sponsored UN) based on religion was engineered by the United Kingdom and the United States to create Pakistan (specifically West Pakistan) whose they needed a stampede against the USSR on the Afghan border (which they did through SEATO & CENTO) and the Indian and Pakistani political leaders (East & West) of the time fell for it. Moreover, after the partition and after such forced transfer of population, the governments of India and Pakistan (East and West) never tried to rehabilitate these forcibly and illegally displaced people because these governments did not never given the proper law and order in their countries, which was necessary for such rehabilitation.
(4)- No one is saying that India with a Hindu majority is not communal, as evidenced by what happened in India, especially after the Babri-masjid dispute since the end of the 80s and its demolition in 1992, where thousands of mainly innocent Muslims were killed, injured, their property destroyed, women dishonored especially in 2002 in Gujarat. But the situation is worse in Muslim Pakistan and Bangladesh because around 20% of the Hindu/Sikh population was forcibly expelled from Pakistan and Bangladesh, while in India the Muslim population remained the same rather increased a little to about 15% (including millions of illegal immigrants mainly from Bangladesh). This communal poison in the Indian subcontinent is the greatest obstacle to the application of human rights (as enshrined in the UN ICCPR) and also to the progress (including economic) of the region. Therefore, without going into details of how the communalism virus spread in the Indian subcontinent from the pre-partition era of India, suffice it to say that now Shehbaz-govt should work for at least “dual citizenship” of India, Pakistan and Bangladesh to those forcibly displaced Hindus, Muslims and Sikhs (and their descendants who are believed to be around 160 million) with proper law and order in those countries where the people with this “dual nationality” will go.
(5)- Shehbaz-govt should immediately disband the senseless and unnecessary “National Accountability Bureau” (NAB) and let normal legal procedures be there to punish anyone involved in corruption. After all, in India, government officials, including many chief ministers, have been convicted and sent to prison in corruption cases without prosecution for persecution, as was done in Pakistan by the NAB. In addition, Shehbaz should obtain written motions filed in the Supreme Court of Pakistan (SCP) by affected persons rather than victims to (i)- Revise judgments in all cases related to Panama Papers etc. against Nawaz Sharif, Asif Ali Zardari and others (ii) – Any pending cases should be referred first to a court of first instance (iii) – Ensure that all such victims receive bail and the right to stand for election and hold office in the party during the trial and all appeals to the High Court and the SCP (iv) – Any other relief by SCP in the interest of full justice to these victims. Additionally, Shehbaz-govt should secure appropriate amendments to the Constitution and laws that will make such judicial coups (as was done in the case of Nawaz) impossible in the future and remove bad laws such as disqualification for life and which will give rise to the draconian NAB. .
(6)- Pakistani army (and other security forces) should be ordered by Shehbaz government not to obstruct LoC over 1 million non-violent peace marches (with international media present) of MOSTLY the unarmed people of Pakistan side of J&K (AJK + Gilgit-Baltistan) in Srinagar, India, where they (along with others) would propose arrest before the Indian authorities while demanding the immediate restoration of human rights kashmiri man denied them and also for a plebiscite in United-J&K as mandated by J&K’s “Instrument of Accession” to India and UN Resolution 1948 (Shehbaz-govt should ensure that Pakistan is not needlessly and foolishly fussing about the evacuation of the AJK and GB for conducting this plebiscite under India’s security forces with or without the help of the UNPKF) . This march for peace is enough not only to cut the wind from Imran’s sails about his false jihadist/Islamist narrative, but also to record the names of the Shehbaz government in gold letters in human rights history. man for the simple reason that he will bring REAL relief and relief to millions of Kashmiri Muslims and hundreds of thousands of forcibly displaced Kashmiri Hindu Pandits who have all been suffering for decades.
There is no doubt that getting Pakistan’s economy back on track will be the minimum condition that will comfortably keep the Shehbaz government in power until the 2023 elections (and even beyond), but it will not be enough unless the Shehbaz government does the above with the required political will and integrity. .